tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Chicago via Baltimore: arrives on time 34%

  1. 15:50 CVG → 17:15 BWI
    WN 1247 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 62% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 BWI → 19:35 MDW
    WN 998 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 52% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip4h 45mCVG 15:50 to MDW 19:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.