tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Denver via Chicago: arrives on time 15%

  1. 20:25 CVG → 20:35 MDW
    WN 1251 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 47% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 MDW → 23:05 DEN
    WN 2770 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 58% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection26%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 74% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (26%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 45mCVG 20:25 to DEN 23:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.