tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Valparaiso via Dallas: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:10 DCA → 08:10 DAL
    WN 1268 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 89% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 50m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 DAL → 11:55 VPS
    WN 205 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 76% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Valparaiso is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 65 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 50m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 45mDCA 06:10 to VPS 11:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.