tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Chicago via Las Vegas: arrives on time 55%

  1. 08:40 RNO → 10:10 LAS
    WN 1276 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:20 LAS → 16:50 MDW
    WN 4506 · Southwest · 3h 30m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip6h 10mRNO 08:40 to MDW 16:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.