tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Louisville via Baltimore: arrives on time 67%

  1. 06:00 DAL → 09:55 BWI
    WN 1280 · Southwest · 2h 55m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 BWI → 12:30 SDF
    WN 1297 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 30mDAL 06:00 to SDF 12:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.