tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Ontario via Baltimore: arrives on time 26%

  1. 15:10 DAL → 19:10 BWI
    WN 1283 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 60% on time, 12.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 BWI → 22:25 ONT
    WN 200 · Southwest · 5h 15m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Ontario is 2 h behind Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (12.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip9h 15mDAL 15:10 to ONT 22:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.