tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → St Louis via Baltimore: arrives on time 26%

  1. 16:45 DAL → 20:45 BWI
    WN 1284 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 BWI → 23:10 STL
    WN 1118 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 50% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip6h 25mDAL 16:45 to STL 23:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.