tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Newark via Las Vegas: arrives on time 85%

  1. 10:50 SMF → 12:20 LAS
    WN 1285 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 16:10 LAS → 00:19 EWR +1 day
    UA 1386 · United · 5h 09m · 86% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 10h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip10h 29mSMF 10:50 to EWR 00:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.