tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → El Paso via San Diego: arrives on time 1%

  1. 18:05 LAS → 19:20 SAN
    WN 1288 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 10% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 SAN → 23:05 ELP
    WN 3498 · Southwest · 1h 52m · 24% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection5%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 95% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time1%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (5%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (24%).
Total trip3h 57mLAS 18:05 to ELP 23:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.