tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Albuquerque via Las Vegas: arrives on time 33%

  1. 15:45 SFO → 17:25 LAS
    WN 1288 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 4% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:25 LAS → 21:55 ABQ
    WN 4074 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 51% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip5h 10mSFO 15:45 to ABQ 21:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.