tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Las Vegas via Denver: arrives on time 24%

  1. 17:55 DAL → 19:25 DEN
    WN 1303 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 52% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 DEN → 21:30 LAS
    WN 1566 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 44% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip5h 35mDAL 17:55 to LAS 21:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.