tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Santa Ana via Denver: arrives on time 28%

  1. 17:55 DAL → 19:25 DEN
    WN 1303 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 52% on time, 3.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 DEN → 21:55 SNA
    WN 744 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (3.5% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip6h 00mDAL 17:55 to SNA 21:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.