tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Sacramento via Las Vegas: arrives on time 21%

  1. 16:35 DAL → 17:25 LAS
    WN 1322 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 49% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 LAS → 20:05 SMF
    WN 4032 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 36% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip5h 30mDAL 16:35 to SMF 20:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.