tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Santa Ana via Las Vegas: arrives on time 52%

  1. 19:10 DAL → 20:00 LAS
    WN 1323 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 41% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:15 LAS → 22:20 SNA
    WN 1590 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 82% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 15mDAL 19:10 to SNA 22:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.