tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Baltimore via Las Vegas: arrives on time 38%

  1. 19:50 SMF → 21:20 LAS
    WN 1324 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 LAS → 05:45 BWI +1 day
    WN 1069 · Southwest · 4h 35m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 12 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 55mSMF 19:50 to BWI 05:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.