tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → New York via Denver: arrives on time 13%

  1. 13:10 DAL → 14:10 DEN
    WN 1346 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 53% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:05 DEN → 20:50 LGA
    WN 4233 · Southwest · 3h 45m · 32% on time, 7.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time13%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (7.7% are) and within 15 minutes (32%).
Total trip6h 40mDAL 13:10 to LGA 20:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.