tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Sacramento via Chicago: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:00 DAL → 08:15 MDW
    WN 1355 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:20 MDW → 12:40 SMF
    WN 2094 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 40mDAL 06:00 to SMF 12:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.