tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Sarasota/Bradenton via Baltimore: arrives on time 70%

  1. 08:55 MDW → 11:45 BWI
    WN 1355 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:30 BWI → 17:05 SRQ
    WN 4817 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sarasota/Bradenton is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 120 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip7h 10mMDW 08:55 to SRQ 17:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.