tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Louisville via Baltimore: arrives on time 81%

  1. 08:55 MDW → 11:45 BWI
    WN 1355 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:40 BWI → 16:25 SDF
    WN 4885 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 30mMDW 08:55 to SDF 16:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.