tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Buffalo via Baltimore: arrives on time 76%

  1. 08:55 MDW → 11:45 BWI
    WN 1355 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:00 BWI → 14:15 BUF
    WN 894 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 20mMDW 08:55 to BUF 14:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.