tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Midland via Dallas: arrives on time 75%

  1. 05:05 PHX → 09:25 DAL
    WN 1357 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 100% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:45 DAL → 12:55 MAF
    WN 4579 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 80% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Midland is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 50mPHX 05:05 to MAF 12:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.