tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Tampa via Chicago: arrives on time 14%

  1. 14:05 DAL → 16:20 MDW
    WN 1358 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 60% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 MDW → 20:50 TPA
    WN 4520 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 29% on time, 7.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (7.7% are) and within 15 minutes (29%).
Total trip5h 45mDAL 14:05 to TPA 20:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.