tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Chicago via Dallas: arrives on time 8%

  1. 17:00 MIA → 19:00 DAL
    WN 1374 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 DAL → 22:00 MDW
    WN 107 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Miami). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection23%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 77% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time8%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (23%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip6h 05mMIA 17:00 to MDW 22:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.