tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Albuquerque → Oakland via Las Vegas: arrives on time 21%

  1. 20:50 ABQ → 21:25 LAS
    WN 138 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 42% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 LAS → 00:18 OAK +1 day
    WN 596 · Southwest · 1h 32m · 36% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 1 h behind Albuquerque). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (36%).
Total trip4h 27mABQ 20:50 to OAK 00:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.