tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Chicago via Denver: arrives on time 12%

  1. 15:00 LAS → 18:00 DEN
    WN 1382 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 43% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 DEN → 22:28 MDW
    WN 1614 · Southwest · 2h 28m · 30% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time12%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (30%).
Total trip5h 28mLAS 15:00 to MDW 22:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.