tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Memphis via Denver: arrives on time 21%

  1. 15:00 LAS → 18:00 DEN
    WN 1382 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 43% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:10 DEN → 22:32 MEM
    WN 2225 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 38% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (38%).
Total trip5h 35mLAS 15:00 to MEM 22:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.