tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Baltimore via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 34%

  1. 15:35 DAL → 19:15 RDU
    WN 1389 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 33% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:20 RDU → 21:30 BWI
    WN 3425 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 70% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip4h 55mDAL 15:35 to BWI 21:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.