tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Sacramento via Dallas: arrives on time 62%

  1. 05:05 STL → 06:45 DAL
    WN 1396 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:40 DAL → 09:15 SMF
    WN 4218 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 10mSTL 05:05 to SMF 09:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.