tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Detroit via Baltimore: arrives on time 36%

  1. 18:05 MCI → 21:35 BWI
    WN 1399 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 56% on time, 5.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 BWI → 00:20 DTW +1 day
    WN 942 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 68% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (5.9% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 10mMCI 18:05 to DTW 00:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.