tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Kansas City via Dallas: arrives on time 12%

  1. 17:20 DCA → 19:30 DAL
    WN 1403 · Southwest · 3h 10m · 27% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 DAL → 22:10 MCI
    WN 4257 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 43% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection29%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 71% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time12%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (29%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip5h 45mDCA 17:20 to MCI 22:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.