tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Houston via Dallas: arrives on time 9%

  1. 15:05 SEA → 21:00 DAL
    WN 1404 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 16% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 DAL → 23:12 HOU
    WN 63 · Southwest · 1h 12m · 55% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection16%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 84% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time9%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (16%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 07mSEA 15:05 to HOU 23:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.