tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Phoenix via Dallas: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:05 TPA → 07:35 DAL
    WN 1406 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 92% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:50 DAL → 09:20 PHX
    WN 4410 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 84% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip6h 15mTPA 06:05 to PHX 09:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.