tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → Nashville via Tampa: arrives on time 29%

  1. 16:10 DAL → 19:40 TPA
    WN 1416 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:45 TPA → 21:40 BNA
    WN 4006 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 51% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip5h 30mDAL 16:10 to BNA 21:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.