tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Dallas via St Louis: arrives on time 40%

  1. 10:50 SFO → 16:55 STL
    WN 1417 · Southwest · 4h 05m · 23% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 47m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:42 STL → 20:22 DAL
    WN 3597 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 53% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 47m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip7h 32mSFO 10:50 to DAL 20:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.