tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Columbus via Dallas: arrives on time 12%

  1. 17:30 STL → 19:10 DAL
    WN 1417 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 36% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 DAL → 23:32 CMH
    WN 1289 · Southwest · 2h 22m · 35% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection36%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 64% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time12%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (36%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (35%).
Total trip5h 02mSTL 17:30 to CMH 23:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.