Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Detroit via Nashville: arrives on time 16%

  1. 19:30 DCA → 20:30 BNA
    WN 1428 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 46% on time, 18.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 BNA → 00:08 DTW +1 day
    WN 2210 · Southwest · 1h 38m · 42% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (18.0% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (42%).
Total trip4h 38mDCA 19:30 to DTW 00:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.