tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Atlanta via Nashville: arrives on time 30%

  1. 19:30 DCA → 20:30 BNA
    WN 1428 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 46% on time, 18.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:42 BNA → 10:45 ATL
    WN 447 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (18.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 22mDCA 19:30 to ATL 10:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.