tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Albuquerque via Houston: arrives on time 28%

  1. 19:15 MDW → 21:50 HOU
    WN 1431 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 51% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 HOU → 22:55 ABQ
    WN 4703 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 62% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 40mMDW 19:15 to ABQ 22:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.