tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Houston via Orlando: arrives on time 37%

  1. 13:05 DCA → 15:25 MCO
    WN 1440 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 57% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:40 MCO → 18:15 HOU
    WN 4654 · Southwest · 2h 32m · 53% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip6h 07mDCA 13:05 to HOU 18:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.