tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Indianapolis via Orlando: arrives on time 11%

  1. 17:25 DCA → 19:55 MCO
    WN 1441 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 32% on time, 14.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 MCO → 23:15 IND
    WN 4591 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 40% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection32%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 68% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (14.3% are) × connection made (32%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip6h 00mDCA 17:25 to IND 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.