tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Louisville via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 09:25 DCA → 10:20 MDW
    WN 1444 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:45 MDW → 14:55 SDF
    WN 4473 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 30mDCA 09:25 to SDF 14:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.