tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Las Vegas via Chicago: arrives on time 59%

  1. 12:00 DCA → 13:00 MDW
    WN 1445 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:18 MDW → 16:12 LAS
    WN 2795 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 71% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 13mDCA 12:00 to LAS 16:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.