tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Kansas City via St Louis: arrives on time 19%

  1. 14:35 DCA → 15:50 STL
    WN 1461 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 43% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:45 STL → 17:50 MCI
    WN 3944 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 54% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip4h 15mDCA 14:35 to MCI 17:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.