tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Fort Lauderdale via Tampa: arrives on time 15%

  1. 13:10 DCA → 15:35 TPA
    WN 1464 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 30% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:30 TPA → 17:35 FLL
    WN 4022 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection26%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 74% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (26%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip4h 25mDCA 13:10 to FLL 17:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.