tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Houston via St Louis: arrives on time 32%

  1. 08:02 PHX → 13:00 STL
    WN 1467 · Southwest · 2h 58m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:50 STL → 15:55 HOU
    WN 4752 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip5h 53mPHX 08:02 to HOU 15:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.