tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 85%

  1. 11:40 PHX → 14:10 SLC
    WN 147 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:20 SLC → 21:03 XNA
    DL 3620 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 43m · 85% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 23mPHX 11:40 to XNA 21:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.