tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Chicago via Baltimore: arrives on time 49%

  1. 23:50 DEN → 05:15 BWI
    WN 1501 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:10 BWI → 07:10 MDW +1 day
    WN 995 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 20mDEN 23:50 to MDW 07:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.