tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Omaha via Chicago: arrives on time 35%

  1. 19:05 CLT → 20:10 MDW
    WN 1513 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 35% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 MDW → 22:55 OMA
    WN 2845 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 62% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 50mCLT 19:05 to OMA 22:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.