tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas → New York via Nashville: arrives on time 45%

  1. 07:05 DAL → 08:50 BNA
    WN 1519 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:45 BNA → 13:05 LGA
    WN 1966 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 64% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 00mDAL 07:05 to LGA 13:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.