tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Midland via Dallas: arrives on time 9%

  1. 17:50 DEN → 21:00 DAL
    WN 1521 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 39% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 DAL → 23:05 MAF
    WN 1341 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Midland is 1 h ahead of Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection28%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 72% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time9%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (28%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (32%).
Total trip4h 15mDEN 17:50 to MAF 23:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.